The Waiting

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice, nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell shares in the company/companies mentioned.

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The information contained herein is accurate to the best of the author’s knowledge, but the material and interpretations contained herein should be independently verified by any party using this information as part of any research, editorial, or decision making process. Any views expressed here represent the author’s opinion only, and as such readers should do their own research and come to their own conclusions if they are using the opinions contained herein as part of any larger due diligence process. The author may have long or short positions in the companies mentioned and may be buying or selling in the market depending on which way the wind is blowing at any given moment. Opinions are subject to change without notice. Prospective resources, predictions, comparisons, financial projections, and extrapolated metrics are, by their nature, subjective and interpretation dependent. The topics covered are highly speculative and involve a high degree of uncertainty and risk. Speculative companies can and do go to zero. By using this site, you agree that the author(s) and Hydra Capital is/are not responsible for any damages incurred by the use of the presented materials. Anyone reading these blog posts should know that they are the author’s thoughts and opinions, which are not to be confused with or construed as research reports.

Disclosure: The following represents my opinions only. I am long ASCU, BNE, BTCC, CAPT, CGNT, DPRO, CDR, CVV, EQX, HSLV, KNT, LBC, MER, MMA, NDM, NRN, NXE, PTK/POET, RAK, TAO, TLO, TNZ, TUK, YGR (image credit to Semyon Borisov on Unsplash)

No one likes to wait. In this world of instant online gratification, patience is becoming an increasingly rare commodity, and yet, it can be one of an investor’s greatest assets. I’ve sometimes thought that the characteristics that make good farmers are the same characteristics that make good investors. Arguably, the invention of farming was a precursor to investing. I say that because both require investing time and resources in the present with the hope/expectation of a positive future outcome (i.e., return), all grounded in learnings from prior experience.

“Waiting helps you as an investor and a lot of people just can’t stand to wait. If you didn’t get the deferred-gratifica­tion gene, you’ve got to work very hard to overcome that.” — Charlie Munger.

No reasonable farmer would ever expect a crop to grow overnight, just as no reasonable investor would expect a company to reach its full potential within a week of learning about it. When growing crops, you’ve got to watch, and wait, and watch some more, and wait some more, and then eventually, one day, you wake up and realize that you’ve got a field full of corn, or potatoes, or strawberries, or whatever. Stocks are no different. You find them, you read up on them, you decide whether or not you like them, and then you make a call as to whether or not you want to plant some in the field that is your portfolio… then you see how you do.